Policy & intelligence
The research hub
Our published research, free to read in full. We work across three genres: geopolitics, economy and society.
Current publication
The Türkiye Election Whitepaper
A constituency-level reading of the electoral map, coalition scenarios with probabilities attached, and what each would mean for economic policy and social cohesion.
Published in full and free to download. We would rather be argued with than cited approvingly.
Interactive
Be the Chancellor
Every fiscal lever the whitepaper proposes, in your hands: rates on capital and earned pay, the spending that reaches middle-income households, and the statutes that decide whether any of it survives contact with reality.
Set the levers, then read the books — surplus or deficit, borrowing, debt, and what actually lands in a payslip.
- Sixteen adjustable levers across revenue, spending and legislation.
- A live ledger showing the balance, borrowing and debt path of your settings.
- Preset scenarios drawn directly from the whitepaper's recommendations.
- Every assumption cited back to the section it comes from.
Mailing list
The Strategic Outlook list
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