Mehmet M. Silim
I build interactive political technology, quantitative models, and strategic advisory for elections in the UK and Türkiye. Everything I've made is on this site and open to the public — seat projections, probability forecasts, and the research behind them, updated as new numbers land.
Britanniatolia Advisory
Strategic policy research and advisory between Westminster and Ankara, focused on trade, security, and governance.
Britanniatolia Hub
The main desk: the research programme, current briefings, and how engagements work.
Policy Research & Whitepapers
Long-form papers on trade, security, and governance, published with sources and method attached.
Professional Work
Selected engagements, commissioned analysis, and talks, with what each one delivered.
Electoral hubs
Seat projections, political spectrum maps, and constituency-level breakdowns for national elections.
UK Election Model
Projections across all 650 Westminster constituencies, revised as new polling comes in.
Türkiye Election Model
Province-level projections for the Grand National Assembly, with alliance thresholds applied.
Interactive Electoral Maps
Pan, zoom, and recolour the map by winner, margin, or swing since the last election.
Simulators & interactive tools
Scenario engines, custom election builders, and gamified trackers — set the inputs yourself and see what falls out.
UK Seat Predictor
Set a national vote share and read off the seats, under uniform or regional swing.
TR Seat Predictor
Build a coalition, set the alliance thresholds, and watch the assembly split redraw itself.
Poll of Polls
Run your own aggregate against the real one and call the result before the polls close.
Data models & forecasts
Subjective probability markets, electoral performance metrics, and leader rankings — scored, dated, and revised in the open.
Pound-for-Pound Political Elo
Leaders rated on results weighted by the strength of the field they faced.
GUIF Forecasts & Revision Logs
Standing probabilities on live questions, with every revision logged and the reason for it.
Candidate & Party Rankings
Performance metrics for candidates and parties, ranked and comparable across cycles.
Writing & analysis
Articles, Substack cross-posts, whitepapers, and regular notes on what the models are doing and why.
Built in public, checked against results.
mmsilim.com is a one-person shop for political technology: election models, probability forecasts, and policy advisory across the UK and Türkiye.
The tools here are the same ones used in client work. Methods are published alongside the output, forecasts carry revision logs, and past calls stay up whether they landed or not.
Get in touch
- Emailhello@mmsilim.com
- NewsletterSubstack
- GitHub@yourhandle
- LinkedInProfile
- Advisory enquiries/work